Foreign press including AP reported that World Meteorological Organization (WMO) anticipated on the 27th that El Nino, which causes unusual weather of severe drought or flooding, is likely to come this year after 5 years absence from 1997 and 1998.
Deputy secretary-general on WMO Michael Jarad announced at press briefing that there appears typical initial phenomenon of El Nino that temperature of water surface in the tropical regions of eastern Pacific and near Ecuador and Peru rose.
He said, “we should look into the symptoms of weather change for some coming weeks, but El Nino is most likely to happen. El Nino might happen during March to June. ”
▽El Nino is possible to happen by 65 percent = Michael Coplan president of WMO said, “recent floods in Peru and Ecuador are similar to the condition under El Nino in 1997 and 1998.”
But meteorologists said that they didn`t concluded whether such symptoms are separate ones or developing stage of El Nino, and added, “the possibility of El Nino is about even. ”
Previously, the government of Malaysia, which suffered from the worst fire due to El Nino in 1997, announced on the 23rd that El Nino is likely to happen again in May at the earliest.
A spokesperson of Malaysia Meteorological Agency said, “it is 65 percent that El Nino possibly happens in Malaysia during May to October. Under the El Nino, fires might happen successively and drought would last due to dry weather. ”
▽The temperature of equatorial water rises by 2 degree - U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration(NOAA) announced on the 7th, “the surface temperature of equatorial waters in eastern Pacific rose by 2 degrees from the average, and the amount of rainfall in this region also increased much. Such rise of temperature is the symptom that shows the process of El Nino. ”
NOAA forecasted, “it is too early to forecast how far this El Nino might influence and how the weather of America is affected by El Nino. But the rise of water temperature in equatorial waters in Pacific would last till the beginning of next year. ”
In relation to this, the government of Peru announced that anchovy, which is a fish lives in cold water, disappeared, while equatorial fishes appeared due to warmed sea, which is the phenomenon happened under the 1997`s El Nino.